With Summer in full swing, the temperature is heating up & so is the Federal Reserve. This May, Kevin Warsh replaced Jerome Powell as Chair of the Federal Reserve. While many of us thought that Trump selected this individual to be someone that he can sway to cut interest rates, that may not be the case. Warsh has already claimed he plans to pull back on the Fed market signaling (or “dot plot”) and has hinted at raising rates in the next quarter. This week the Federal Open Market Committee, FMOC, confirmed we will keep the federal funds rate at 3.5-3.75% with a target inflation rate of 2%. It’s worth noting that those who voted against the FMOC fed funds rate actually voted to raise it by .25%.
What does this mean for clients and investors? In the short-term, we have stable interest rates that will likely raise with time. This also means facing the trade- off of increased yields on fixed-income investments, but higher borrowing costs (mortgage, personal loans, business loans...). With Warsh not wanting to provide forward guidance on Fed moves we face uncertainty on his next steps. Uncertainty could mean we see more short-term market volatility following Fed meetings.
Overall, we want to remind clients that we are thinking long-term and that economic fundamentals mean more to your investment strategy than who is elected for any political position.



In that same spirit, we want to thank everyone who joined us for our recent Client Appreciation Party and helped us celebrate Freedom = Financial Freedom. We are fortunate to work with amazing clients from across Colorado and the U.S., and we know no single location is convenient for everyone. We are especially thankful to those who traveled to celebrate with us and make the evening so memorable.